Premier League top scorer odds 2025/26: Erling Haaland early favourite to reclaim Golden Boot

The new Premier League season is underway and there are no shortage of stars lining up for England’s top clubs in 2025/26.

The top flight of English football is home to some of the best attacking players in the world, and several of those will be fighting to finish as the division’s leading goal-getter this campaign. Mohamed Salah and Erling Haaland have been there and done it in England, and they have been joined by new recruits such as Viktor Gyökeres and Hugo Ekitike.

We have taken a deep dive into the Premier League top scorer odds, with analysis of the leading contenders for the prize as well as more general information about the Golden Boot.

Latest Premier League top scorers & odds

*Goal tallies and odds last updated on 8th September. Odds are subject to change.

Premier League top scorer odds – favourites

Below are the main candidates for the Golden Boot according to the latest Premier League top scorer odds. 

Erling Haaland – 10/11

• Goals: 3
• xG: 3.91
• Starts (sub appearances): 3 (0)
• Minutes per goal: 84.33
• Total Shots: 14

The man at the top of the Premier League top scorer betting market is Erling Haaland, whose record speaks for itself. The perennial favourite to win the Golden Boot fell short last season, as injury problems saw him missing from the lineup on several occasions. But with Haaland fit and firing again, he will fancy his chances of topping the charts this campaign.

The Norway international has redefined what it means to be a Pep Guardiola striker. The Catalan manager was more renowned for using diminutive false nines than hulking centre-forwards, but Haaland’s excellence in and around the penalty area has made him an indispensable part of this Manchester City team.

Haaland was the Premier League’s top scorer in 2022/23 and 2023/24, and he is now looking to get back on top for a third time in four years.

Select Erling Haaland to top the charts at 10/11 with Tote

Viktor Gyökeres – 7/1

• Goals: 2
• xG: 1.30
• Starts (sub appearances): 3 (0)
• Minutes per goal: 120
• Total Shots: 3

Viktor Gyökeres has been in phenomenal form over the last couple of years and, having bagged a brace in his home debut for Arsenal, betting sites have elevated him to second-shortest odds for Premier League top scorer. Having impressed for Coventry City in the Championship, Gyökeres joined Sporting CP in the summer of 2023. During his two seasons at the club, he scored 68 goals in 66 games.

That convinced Arsenal to pay an initial £55m to land the Swede ahead of the 2025/26 campaign. The Gunners have been crying out for an out-and-out striker for some time now, and the hope is that Gyökeres will be the final piece of the jigsaw that gets Arsenal over the line in the Premier League title race.

The main question mark over Gyökeres is whether his form in Liga Portugal translates to the Premier League. It is a massive step up and it could take him some time to find his feet. The Gunners have had two tough away trips so far, and the Swede has had to feed off scraps in those games.

Take up odds of 7/1 on Viktor Gyökeres winning the Golden Boot at bet365

Alexander Isak – 8/1

• Goals: 0
• xG: 0
• Starts (sub appearances): 0
• Minutes per goal: 0
• Total Shots: 0

Having refused to play for Newcastle at the beginning of the season in an effort to force through a move to Liverpool, Alexander Isak has yet to play a Premier League minute so far this season.

Isak took his game to another level last season while wearing the black and white, scoring 23 goals (second only to Mohamed Salah) to help Newcastle back into the Champions League. He now joins the defending champions – joining Salah, Florian Wirtz and Hugo Ekitike in a loaded forward line.

We will soon find out after the international break how Arne Slot plans to utilise all of these weapons. Having paid a British record transfer fee for Isak, it’s expected he will be the main man.

Tip Alexander Isak to win the Golden Boot at 8/1 with Betfred

João Pedro – 12/1

• Goals: 2
• xG: 1.38
• Starts (sub appearances): 3 (0)
• Minutes per goal: 126.5
• Total Shots: 8

Chelsea have bolstered their attacking options this summer, bringing in João Pedro and Liam Delap from Brighton & Hove Albion and Ipswich Town respectively. Nicolas Jackson, a talented but unreliable striker, has headed out of Stamford Bridge. So far, it has been the Brazilian who has led the line for Enzo Maresca’s side – scoring twice in the opening three games.

Cole Palmer has been Chelsea’s leading goal-getter over the past couple of seasons, but there is no doubt The Blues needed a more prolific out-and-out forward.

Take a punt on João Pedro to be the most prolific player in the league at 12/1 with Spreadex

Mohamed Salah – 12/1

• Goals: 1
• xG: 0.31
• Starts (sub appearances): 3 (0)
• Minutes per goal: 270
• Total Shots: 4

Mohamed Salah’s tally of 29 goals powered Liverpool to the Premier League title last season, while also being enough for him to win the Golden Boot comfortably. Unsurprisingly given his admirable consistency of performance over the last few years, Salah is seen as a leading contender to finish as top scorer this season too. 

The Egyptian winger may struggle to match his 2024/25 season however, given all of Liverpool’s new options in attack and with there being an African Cup of Nations at the beginning of 2026, he’s set to miss several Premier League games.

He was on target against Bournemouth on the opening night of the season, but hasn’t yet followed that up.

Wager on Mohamed Salah being the top scorer at 12/1 with Spreadex

Hugo Ekitike – 14/1

• Goals: 2
• xG: 1.26
• Starts (sub appearances): 3 (0)
• Minutes per goal: 115.5
• Total Shots: 5

Liverpool spent around £80m on the France international, after a return of 15 goals in 33 league games for Eintracht Frankfurt last season. In any other summer, this would’ve been the headline deal for any of the Premier League’s big six but the defending champions went on to spend another £125m on Alexander Isak.

Ekitike has started the season well, scoring against Bournemouth and Newcastle, and also against Crystal Palace in the Community Shield. His price for top scorer in the league has shortened slightly from 16/1 to 14/1, but he is now the third Liverpool name on this list following Isak’s arrival.

Deposit your stake and back Hugo Ekitike to be top scorer at 14/1 with talkSPORT BET

Premier League top scorer odds – outsiders

Could there be a surprise challenger from outside the Premier League’s traditional big six clubs? Last season, the likes of Chris Wood, Bryan Mbeumo and Yoann Wissa were prolific for unfancied teams. Here is a selection of potential dark horses who could become the equivalent of those three this season.

Chris Wood – 33/1

Chris Wood has started the new season from where he left off in 2024/25 where he found the back of the net 20 times – his best ever Premier League tally – as Nottingham Forest occupied the Champions League places for most of the season.

The Kiwi, who bagged a brace against Brentford, is the perfect fit for Nuno Espírito Santo’s preferred style of play, and he should be served with plenty of chances by the likes of Morgan Gibbs-White.

With Forest in Europe for the first time in decades, there will be times when the 33-year-old Wood could use a rest. Nuno will have to manage his minutes carefully to ensure the New Zealand international is still able to contribute in the biggest games. Wood is clearly an outsider, but after his exploits last season he deserves to be in the conversation.

Go for Chris Wood to finish first in the goal charts at 33/1 with talkSPORT BET

Jean-Philippe Mateta – 40/1

Jean-Philippe Mateta was instrumental in Crystal Palace’s FA Cup success last season, scoring 17 goals in 46 matches in all competitions. Fourteen of those strikes came in the Premier League, with Oliver Glasner getting the best out of the Frenchman in his first full season in charge of the side from south London.

Mateta has not been the subject of as much transfer interest as Palace fans anticipated, but that is good news for Glasner’s side. As well as being an excellent target man and ball-carrier, Mateta has honed his finishing in the last 18 months or so. However, it would take a huge effort for the Palace marksman to challenge the likes of Erling Haaland.

Put your money on Jean-Philippe Mateta springing a surprise at 40/1 with Betfred

Richarlison – 40/1

Tottenham’s enigmatic Brazilian has only had one double-digit goal return in his three full seasons since joining from Everton but having already netted twice so far – both against Burnley on opening day – maybe this is the campaign where he returns to the sort of form he displayed on Merseyside, where he scored 43 times across four seasons.

Richarlison’s game time should increase too, what with long-time talisman Heung-Min Son having moved on and with James Maddison out for the season with injury. He’s started all three games so far and played 239 of the 270 minutes.

Back Richarlison to continue his strong start and finish top scorer at 40/1 with BetMGM

Which players have scored the most Premier League goals over the last three seasons?

Erling Haaland has been the most consistent goal-getter in the last three seasons, netting a total of 85 strikes in that time. He enjoyed a record-breaking campaign in 2022/23, beating opposition goalkeepers on 36 occasions for Manchester City. He tends to hit the ground running: in each of the last three years, Haaland has scored at least eight goals in his first six appearances.

Mohamed Salah is second in the standings over a three-year period with 66 goals. Twenty-nine of those efforts came in 2024/25, when the Liverpool legend enjoyed a purple patch in winter: between the start of December and early January, he scored eight goals in seven matches to move clear of the competition. 

Third place in this particular category is claimed by Alexander Isak, who has found the back of the net 54 times since 2022/23. Ollie Watkins of Aston Villa is fourth with 50 goals in the last three campaigns. 

Premier League top scorers from the last three seasons

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FAQs about the 2025/26 Premier League top scorer race

1. Which teams are expected to compete for the Premier League title?

Liverpool are the favourites to win the Premier League title season. They enter 2025/26 as defending champions following their impressive success in Arne Slot’s maiden campaign at the helm, since when they have brought in Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitike and Alexander Isak as well as new full backs Jeremie Frimpong and Milos Kerkez.

Liverpool will face competition from Arsenal, who are desperate to lift the trophy after finishing as runners-up for three consecutive seasons. The signing of Viktor Gyökeres means Arsenal now have a bona fide centre-forward to lead the line, but there were signs of regression from Mikel Arteta’s men last term.

Manchester City had an off-year last time out, but they previously won four titles on the bounce under Pep Guardiola. The legendary manager looked fatigued at the end of last season, but he has refreshed his squad with two new goalkeepers – James Trafford and Champions League and Euro 2020 winner Gianluigi Donnarumma – plus Rayan Cherki, Rayan Aït-Nouri and Tijjani Reijnders. City want to fight for the title again this season.

2. Which teams are expected to compete for the Champions League places in the Premier League?

Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City are the favourites to finish in the top four of the Premier League and thus qualify for the Champions League. Can any other teams match them?

Chelsea will also expect to be there or thereabouts after winning the Conference League and the Club World Cup in the last few months. Enzo Maresca is now in his second season at the helm, so Chelsea should kick on.

Newcastle are back in the Champions League, but they struggled to balance the demands of Europe’s top competition with the Premier League the last time they were in it. They have also had a difficult summer in the transfer market, with numerous striker targets going elsewhere with the Alexander Isak saga rumbling on until deadline day.

Aston Villa reached the quarter-finals of the Champions League last time out and they will be keen to secure a return this year, while Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur must improve after dismal domestic campaigns in 2024/25.

3. Which teams are expected to be fighting against relegation from the Premier League this season?

In both of the last two seasons, the three promoted clubs have gone straight back down to the Championship. That bodes ill for Leeds United, Burnley and Sunderland, but the new boys will do everything they can to keep their heads above water, even though virtually every bookmaker expects them all to go down.

Brentford could be in trouble following the departures of their manager (Thomas Frank) and star players (Bryan Mbeumo and Yoann Wissa), with new boss Keith Andrews an unknown quantity. Wolves finished 16th last season and have since lost Matheus Cunha to Manchester United, while there are worrying signs of stagnation at West Ham.

In terms of relegation outsiders, the likes of Everton, Crystal Palace, Fulham and Bournemouth could be dragged into a demotion dogfight if they take their eye off the ball.

4. How can injuries, suspensions and managers rotating their teams affect the top scorer race?

Injuries, suspensions and rotation can have a huge effect on the outcome of a top scorer race. Their uncertain impact means every pre-season prediction is partly a guessing game.

Just last season, Erling Haaland’s bid for the award was derailed when he picked up an injury in April which kept him out for several weeks. Harry Kane was in the mix for the top scorer prize in 2018/19, only to suffer an ankle problem in April which allowed others to overtake him.

Eric Cantona was on course to challenge for the Golden Boot in 1994/95. In January of that season, he was sent off for kung-fu kicking a Crystal Palace supporter which saw him banned for the rest of the campaign, thus ruling him out of the race. On the other hand, Luis Suárez missed six games of the 2013/14 campaign through suspension but still finished as top scorer, finding the back of the net 31 times for Liverpool.

Rotation can also make things more difficult for a player aiming to finish as top scorer. It is much better to belong to a team where you are virtually guaranteed 38 starts if fit, rather than playing for a club which has alternative options in attack.

About the author

Greg Lea

Greg Lea is a freelance football writer from London. He predominantly covers the Premier League and has had work published by the Guardian, FourFourTwo, ESPN and others.

Follow Greg on X: @GregLeaFootball

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